2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 9:30 PM · Camp Randall Stadium

Washington @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreLean

Washington

27.2

Wisconsin

22.9

Wisconsin win probability: 40%

Margin (Wisconsin − Washington): -4.3 (80% range -24 to 15)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Washington 10 – Wisconsin 13 (margin error 7.3, total error 27.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.