2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 12:00 AM · Joe Aillet Stadium

Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreLikely

Sam Houston

18.7

Louisiana Tech

28.4

Louisiana Tech win probability: 74%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Sam Houston): 9.7 (80% range -10 to 29)

Total: 47.1 (80% range 25 to 69)

Actual: Sam Houston 14 – Louisiana Tech 55 (margin error 31.3, total error 21.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.