2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 12:00 AM · Joe Aillet Stadium
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
18.7
Louisiana Tech
28.4
Louisiana Tech win probability: 74%
Margin (Louisiana Tech − Sam Houston): 9.7 (80% range -10 to 29)
Total: 47.1 (80% range 25 to 69)
Actual: Sam Houston 14 – Louisiana Tech 55 (margin error 31.3, total error 21.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.