2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 10:00 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium
TCU @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreLikely
TCU
32.6
West Virginia
22.8
West Virginia win probability: 27%
Margin (West Virginia − TCU): -9.9 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: TCU 23 – West Virginia 17 (margin error 3.9, total error 15.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.60% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.