2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Massachusetts @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreLikely

Massachusetts

20.6

Central Michigan

32.2

Central Michigan win probability: 77%

Margin (Central Michigan − Massachusetts): 11.6 (80% range -9 to 32)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Massachusetts 13 – Central Michigan 38 (margin error 13.4, total error 1.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.