2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 4:00 PM · S.B. Ballard Stadium

App State @ Old Dominion

Predicted scoreLikely

App State

20.4

Old Dominion

32.9

Old Dominion win probability: 78%

Margin (Old Dominion − App State): 12.5 (80% range -7 to 34)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: App State 21 – Old Dominion 24 (margin error 9.5, total error 8.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.