Predicted scoreToss-up
Wyoming
27.7
Air Force
27.8
Air Force win probability: 50%
Margin (Air Force − Wyoming): 0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Wyoming 21 – Air Force 24 (margin error 2.9, total error 10.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.