Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
27.1
TCU
34.0
TCU win probability: 66%
Margin (TCU − Baylor): 6.9 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 61.1 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: Baylor 36 – TCU 42 (margin error 0.9, total error 16.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.