2025 Week 7 · Oct 10, 2025, 12:00 AM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern

Predicted scoreLean

Southern Miss

25.9

Georgia Southern

30.4

Georgia Southern win probability: 61%

Margin (Georgia Southern − Southern Miss): 4.5 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Southern Miss 38 – Georgia Southern 35 (margin error 7.5, total error 16.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.