Predicted scoreLean
Colorado
25.3
TCU
30.9
TCU win probability: 63%
Margin (TCU − Colorado): 5.6 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 81)
Actual: Colorado 21 – TCU 35 (margin error 8.4, total error 0.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.