2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · InfoCision Stadium
Central Michigan @ Akron
Predicted scoreToss-up
Central Michigan
27.2
Akron
23.2
Akron win probability: 40%
Margin (Akron − Central Michigan): -3.9 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Central Michigan 22 – Akron 28 (margin error 9.9, total error 0.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.