Predicted scoreLikely
Kentucky
19.2
Georgia
29.6
Georgia win probability: 75%
Margin (Georgia − Kentucky): 10.4 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Kentucky 14 – Georgia 35 (margin error 10.6, total error 0.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.