2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 11:45 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium

Kentucky @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kentucky

20.9

South Carolina

21.9

South Carolina win probability: 53%

Margin (South Carolina − Kentucky): 1.0 (80% range -18 to 20)

Total: 42.8 (80% range 23 to 65)

Actual: Kentucky 13 – South Carolina 35 (margin error 21.0, total error 5.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.