2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 5:00 PM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreToss-up

Eastern Michigan

30.1

Central Michigan

27.4

Central Michigan win probability: 44%

Margin (Central Michigan − Eastern Michigan): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Eastern Michigan 13 – Central Michigan 24 (margin error 13.7, total error 20.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.