Predicted scoreLean
Maryland
22.3
Wisconsin
29.5
Wisconsin win probability: 68%
Margin (Wisconsin − Maryland): 7.2 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Maryland 27 – Wisconsin 10 (margin error 24.2, total error 14.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.