Predicted scoreLikely
Iowa
32.0
Rutgers
23.2
Rutgers win probability: 29%
Margin (Rutgers − Iowa): -8.7 (80% range -29 to 11)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Iowa 38 – Rutgers 28 (margin error 1.3, total error 10.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.