2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 11:30 PM · Kroger Field
Eastern Michigan @ Kentucky
Predicted scoreConfident
Eastern Michigan
15.4
Kentucky
36.4
Kentucky win probability: 91%
Margin (Kentucky − Eastern Michigan): 20.9 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Eastern Michigan 23 – Kentucky 48 (margin error 4.1, total error 19.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.