2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 11:00 PM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Jacksonville State @ Georgia Southern

Predicted scoreToss-up

Jacksonville State

29.1

Georgia Southern

27.1

Georgia Southern win probability: 45%

Margin (Georgia Southern − Jacksonville State): -2.1 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Jacksonville State 34 – Georgia Southern 41 (margin error 9.1, total error 18.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.