Predicted scoreConfident
Stanford
16.5
BYU
33.7
BYU win probability: 87%
Margin (BYU − Stanford): 17.1 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Stanford 3 – BYU 27 (margin error 6.9, total error 20.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.90% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.