2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 11:30 PM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Ball State @ Auburn
Predicted scoreConfident
Ball State
14.2
Auburn
41.2
Auburn win probability: 96%
Margin (Auburn − Ball State): 27.0 (80% range 7 to 49)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 33 to 79)
Actual: Ball State 3 – Auburn 42 (margin error 12.0, total error 10.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.79% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.