2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 11:30 PM · Spartan Stadium
Boston College @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Boston College
24.6
Michigan State
24.5
Michigan State win probability: 49%
Margin (Michigan State − Boston College): -0.1 (80% range -20 to 20)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Boston College 40 – Michigan State 42 (margin error 2.1, total error 32.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.