2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

Troy @ Clemson

Predicted scoreConfident

Troy

17.1

Clemson

34.2

Clemson win probability: 86%

Margin (Clemson − Troy): 17.1 (80% range -3 to 38)

Total: 51.3 (80% range 29 to 75)

Actual: Troy 16 – Clemson 27 (margin error 6.1, total error 8.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.