Predicted scoreLean
Ole Miss
29.9
Kentucky
22.1
Kentucky win probability: 31%
Margin (Kentucky − Ole Miss): -7.8 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Ole Miss 30 – Kentucky 23 (margin error 0.8, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.