2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 4:00 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Central Michigan @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreConfident
Central Michigan
15.2
Pittsburgh
33.5
Pittsburgh win probability: 88%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Central Michigan): 18.3 (80% range -1 to 39)
Total: 48.7 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Central Michigan 17 – Pittsburgh 45 (margin error 9.7, total error 13.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.97% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.