2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 6:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Old Dominion @ Indiana

Predicted scoreConfident

Old Dominion

17.0

Indiana

39.7

Indiana win probability: 92%

Margin (Indiana − Old Dominion): 22.7 (80% range 2 to 44)

Total: 56.7 (80% range 34 to 82)

Actual: Old Dominion 14 – Indiana 27 (margin error 9.7, total error 15.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.