2025 Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025, 1:00 AM · Camp Randall Stadium

Miami (OH) @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreLikely

Miami (OH)

19.3

Wisconsin

30.3

Wisconsin win probability: 76%

Margin (Wisconsin − Miami (OH)): 11.1 (80% range -8 to 31)

Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Miami (OH) 0 – Wisconsin 17 (margin error 5.9, total error 32.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.