2023 Postseason · Jan 1, 2024, 6:00 PM · State Farm Stadium (neutral site)

Liberty @ Oregon

Predicted scoreLikely

Liberty

20.9

Oregon

35.0

Oregon win probability: 81%

Margin (Oregon − Liberty): 14.1 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 80)

Actual: Liberty 6 – Oregon 45 (margin error 24.9, total error 5.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.