2023 Postseason · Jan 1, 2024, 5:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium (neutral site)

Wisconsin @ LSU

Predicted scoreLikely

Wisconsin

21.1

LSU

29.7

LSU win probability: 71%

Margin (LSU − Wisconsin): 8.5 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Wisconsin 31 – LSU 35 (margin error 4.5, total error 15.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.