2023 Postseason · Dec 29, 2023, 5:00 PM · EverBank Stadium (neutral site)

Clemson @ Kentucky

Predicted scoreToss-up

Clemson

24.7

Kentucky

21.7

Kentucky win probability: 42%

Margin (Kentucky − Clemson): -3.0 (80% range -23 to 17)

Total: 46.4 (80% range 25 to 69)

Actual: Clemson 38 – Kentucky 35 (margin error 0.0, total error 26.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.