2023 Week 13 · Nov 26, 2023, 4:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Colorado State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreToss-up

Colorado State

26.5

Hawai'i

28.5

Hawai'i win probability: 55%

Margin (Hawai'i − Colorado State): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 22)

Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Colorado State 24 – Hawai'i 27 (margin error 1.0, total error 3.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.