2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 1:30 AM · Autzen Stadium
Oregon State @ Oregon
Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon State
24.3
Oregon
34.0
Oregon win probability: 73%
Margin (Oregon − Oregon State): 9.7 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Oregon State 7 – Oregon 31 (margin error 14.3, total error 20.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.