2023 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023, 8:30 PM · University Stadium (NM)

Utah State @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreLean

Utah State

32.6

New Mexico

27.4

New Mexico win probability: 38%

Margin (New Mexico − Utah State): -5.1 (80% range -26 to 16)

Total: 60.0 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Utah State 44 – New Mexico 41 (margin error 2.1, total error 25.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.