2023 Week 12 · Nov 19, 2023, 12:30 AM · Camp Randall Stadium

Nebraska @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreLean

Nebraska

19.3

Wisconsin

25.5

Wisconsin win probability: 66%

Margin (Wisconsin − Nebraska): 6.2 (80% range -14 to 25)

Total: 44.9 (80% range 24 to 67)

Actual: Nebraska 17 – Wisconsin 24 (margin error 0.8, total error 3.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.