2023 Week 12 · Nov 19, 2023, 12:30 AM · Williams-Brice Stadium

Kentucky @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kentucky

24.9

South Carolina

26.0

South Carolina win probability: 53%

Margin (South Carolina − Kentucky): 1.2 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Kentucky 14 – South Carolina 17 (margin error 1.8, total error 19.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.