2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 11:30 PM · Stanford Stadium
California @ Stanford
Predicted scoreLean
California
29.5
Stanford
22.1
Stanford win probability: 32%
Margin (Stanford − California): -7.4 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: California 27 – Stanford 15 (margin error 4.6, total error 9.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.