Predicted scoreLikely
Baylor
24.4
TCU
34.5
TCU win probability: 73%
Margin (TCU − Baylor): 10.1 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Baylor 17 – TCU 42 (margin error 14.9, total error 0.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.