Predicted scoreLean
Georgia
29.3
Tennessee
25.2
Tennessee win probability: 40%
Margin (Tennessee − Georgia): -4.0 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Georgia 38 – Tennessee 10 (margin error 24.0, total error 6.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.