2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 7:00 PM · Scheumann Stadium
Kent State @ Ball State
Predicted scoreLean
Kent State
23.7
Ball State
31.5
Ball State win probability: 69%
Margin (Ball State − Kent State): 7.8 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Kent State 3 – Ball State 34 (margin error 23.2, total error 18.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.