Predicted scoreLikely
Hawai'i
22.9
Wyoming
32.6
Wyoming win probability: 73%
Margin (Wyoming − Hawai'i): 9.6 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Hawai'i 9 – Wyoming 42 (margin error 23.4, total error 4.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.