2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 7:00 PM · AmFirst Stadium

Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana Tech

22.7

Jacksonville State

33.3

Jacksonville State win probability: 74%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Louisiana Tech): 10.7 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 80)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 17 – Jacksonville State 56 (margin error 28.3, total error 17.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.