2023 Week 11 · Nov 12, 2023, 12:00 AM · TDECU Stadium
Cincinnati @ Houston
Predicted scoreToss-up
Cincinnati
28.0
Houston
31.3
Houston win probability: 58%
Margin (Houston − Cincinnati): 3.2 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 59.3 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Cincinnati 24 – Houston 14 (margin error 13.2, total error 21.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.