2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 10:30 PM · Reser Stadium
Stanford @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreConfident
Stanford
19.0
Oregon State
35.6
Oregon State win probability: 85%
Margin (Oregon State − Stanford): 16.6 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Stanford 17 – Oregon State 62 (margin error 28.4, total error 24.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.