Predicted scoreLean
Tennessee
30.1
Missouri
24.7
Missouri win probability: 37%
Margin (Missouri − Tennessee): -5.4 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Tennessee 7 – Missouri 36 (margin error 34.4, total error 11.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.