Predicted scoreConfident
Troy
33.8
UL Monroe
14.0
UL Monroe win probability: 10%
Margin (UL Monroe − Troy): -19.8 (80% range -40 to 0)
Total: 47.8 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Troy 45 – UL Monroe 14 (margin error 11.2, total error 11.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 10 | 0.94% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.94% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.85% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.84% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.