2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 6:00 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)

Old Dominion @ Liberty

Predicted scoreLean

Old Dominion

24.7

Liberty

32.0

Liberty win probability: 67%

Margin (Liberty − Old Dominion): 7.2 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 56.7 (80% range 34 to 82)

Actual: Old Dominion 10 – Liberty 38 (margin error 20.8, total error 8.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.