2023 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2023, 12:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Central Michigan
28.9
Western Michigan
30.3
Western Michigan win probability: 53%
Margin (Western Michigan − Central Michigan): 1.4 (80% range -20 to 22)
Total: 59.1 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Central Michigan 28 – Western Michigan 38 (margin error 8.6, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 28 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.