2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 9:30 PM · Autzen Stadium
California @ Oregon
Predicted scoreConfident
California
19.1
Oregon
37.2
Oregon win probability: 87%
Margin (Oregon − California): 18.0 (80% range -3 to 39)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 34 to 80)
Actual: California 19 – Oregon 63 (margin error 26.0, total error 25.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.62% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.