Predicted scoreToss-up
Houston
29.6
Baylor
29.2
Baylor win probability: 49%
Margin (Baylor − Houston): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Houston 25 – Baylor 24 (margin error 0.6, total error 9.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.