2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 1:00 AM · Camp Randall Stadium

Western Michigan @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreConfident

Western Michigan

16.2

Wisconsin

35.3

Wisconsin win probability: 89%

Margin (Wisconsin − Western Michigan): 19.2 (80% range 0 to 39)

Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 75)

Actual: Western Michigan 14 – Wisconsin 28 (margin error 5.2, total error 9.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.