Predicted scoreConfident
UConn
11.5
Tennessee
40.6
Tennessee win probability: 97%
Margin (Tennessee − UConn): 29.1 (80% range 9 to 49)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: UConn 3 – Tennessee 59 (margin error 26.9, total error 9.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.97% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.94% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.94% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.87% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.