2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 4:00 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium

Jacksonville State @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreLikely

Jacksonville State

20.8

South Carolina

29.3

South Carolina win probability: 71%

Margin (South Carolina − Jacksonville State): 8.5 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Jacksonville State 28 – South Carolina 38 (margin error 1.5, total error 15.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.